Recent earthquakes, particularly the 2008 Wenchuan (China), 2009 L’Aquila (Italy), 2010 Haiti, 2011 Christchurch (New Zealand), and 2011 Tohoku (Japan), events, have renewed debate among scientists (e.g., Jordan et al., 2011; Stein et al., 2011; Peresan et al., 2012; Stirling, 2012; Jordan, 2013; Jordan et al., 2014; Wang and Rogers, 2014) on predicting or forecasting earthquakes and their resulting ground‐motion hazards. The main reason for this debate is societal demand for predicting or forecasting. In other words, scientists, seismologists in particular, feel compelled to provide predictions or forecasts to...

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