Probabilistic fault‐based and time‐dependent seismic‐hazard studies are commonly used to forecast the time between consecutive earthquakes; however, the correct evaluation of key parameters is critical for obtaining accurate results.

Probabilities of occurrence must be input to formulate seismic design maps and to develop national recommendations for building codes around the world (e.g., Field et al., 2009; Stucchi et al., 2011; Stirling et al., 2012). The basic requirements for computing earthquake probabilities are the mean recurrence time and its variability. To understand the statistical behavior of earthquakes, data on long earthquake sequences is necessary. However,...

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