In order to understand earthquake hazards we would ideally have a statistical description of earthquakes for tens of thousands of years. Unfortunately the ∼100‐year instrumental, several 100‐year historical, and few 1000‐year paleoseismological records are woefully inadequate to provide a statistically significant record. Physics‐based earthquake simulators can generate arbitrarily long histories of earthquakes; thus they can provide a statistically meaningful history of simulated earthquakes. The question is, how realistic are these simulated histories? This purpose of this paper is to begin to answer that question. We compare the results between different simulators and with information that is known from the limited...
A Comparison among Observations and Earthquake Simulator Results for the allcal2 California Fault Model
Terry E. Tullis, Keith Richards‐Dinger, Michael Barall, James H. Dieterich, Edward H. Field, Eric M. Heien, Louise H. Kellogg, Fred F. Pollitz, John B. Rundle, Michael K. Sachs, Donald L. Turcotte, Steven N. Ward, M. Burak Yikilmaz; A Comparison among Observations and Earthquake Simulator Results for the allcal2 California Fault Model. Seismological Research Letters 2012;; 83 (6): 994–1006. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220120094
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