In his opinion paper “Earthquake Hazard Maps and Objective Testing: The Hazard Mapper’s Point of View,” Stirling (2012) makes the claim that probabilistic seismic hazard (PSH) maps “are tools developed to provide estimates of hazard for long return periods (e.g., hundreds to thousands of years)” (p. 231). He is referring to the applications of PSH models for nuclear facilities and hydro dam developments as successful examples of the probabilistic method. Stirling is recommending PSH applications such as the Yucca Mountain seismic project also for other areas.

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Despite Stirling’s opinion, PSH maps in use today obviously should not be used for...

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