One of the attractions of the Monte Carlo simulation approach to seismic hazard is its conceptual simplicity and directness. What a site operator wants to know is what type of earthquake shaking his plant might possibly have to endure in its lifetime. In response, the seismologist takes all the available information on regional seismogenesis, distils it into a numerical model, and then uses that model to investigate all the possible earthquake ground motions that might occur at the site. Given a sufficient number of simulations, every possible outcome will be sampled, and the most likely outcomes will be observed more...

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