In a recent Opinion in Seismological Research Letters, Jordan and Jones (2010) discussed the findings and recommendations of the International Commission on Earthquake Forecasting (ICEF) for operational earthquake forecasting convened by the Italian government following the 6 April 2009 L'Aquila Mw 6.3 earthquake, which killed 308 people in central Italy. “The goal of operational earthquake forecasting is to provide communities with information about seismic hazards that can be used to make decisions in advance of potentially destructive earthquakes” where “one of the outstanding challenges in the operational use of probabilistic forecasts is in translating...

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