A Long-term Forecast of Shallow Seismicity Based on the Global Strain Rate Map

Peter Bird; Corné Kreemer; William E. Holt

doi:10.1785/gssrl.81.2.184

Peter Bird;

Peter Bird

Department of Earth and Space Sciences   University of California   Los Angeles, California 90045 U.S.A.   pbird@ess.ucla.edu   (P. B.)

Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles

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Corné Kreemer;

Corné Kreemer

Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology   University of Nevada Reno, Nevada 89557-0178 U.S.A.   kreemer@unr.edu   (C. K.)

Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology; Seismological Laboratory, University of Nevada, Reno

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William E. Holt

Department of Geosciences   State University of New York   Stony Brook, New York 11794-2100 U.S.A.   william.holt@sunysb.edu   (W.E.H.)

Department of Geosciences, State University of New York, Stony Brook

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Seismological Research Letters (2010) 81 (2): 184–194.

https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.81.2.184

The Global Strain Rate Map (GSRM) of Kreemer et al. (2003) was the main result of Project II-8 of the International Lithosphere Program. The GSRM is a numerical velocity gradient tensor field model for the entire Earth's surface that describes the spatial variations of horizontal strain rate tensor components, rotation rates, and velocities. The model consists of 25 rigid spherical plates and ∼25,000 0.6° by 0.5° deformable grid areas within the diffuse plate boundary zones (e.g., western North America, central Asia, Alpine-Himalaya belt). The model provides an estimate of the horizontal strain rates in diffuse plate...

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A Long-term Forecast of Shallow Seismicity Based on the Global Strain Rate Map

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