A Long-term Forecast of Shallow Seismicity Based on the Global Strain Rate Map

Peter Bird; Corné Kreemer; William E. Holt

doi:10.1785/gssrl.81.2.184

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Research Article| March 01, 2010

A Long-term Forecast of Shallow Seismicity Based on the Global Strain Rate Map

Peter Bird;

Peter Bird

Department of Earth and Space Sciences   University of California   Los Angeles, California 90045 U.S.A.   [email protected]   (P. B.)

1

Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles

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Corné Kreemer;

Corné Kreemer

Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology   University of Nevada Reno, Nevada 89557-0178 U.S.A.   [email protected]   (C. K.)

2

Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology; Seismological Laboratory, University of Nevada, Reno

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William E. Holt

Department of Geosciences   State University of New York   Stony Brook, New York 11794-2100 U.S.A.   [email protected]   (W.E.H.)

3

Department of Geosciences, State University of New York, Stony Brook

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Author and Article Information

Peter Bird

1

Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles

Department of Earth and Space Sciences   University of California   Los Angeles, California 90045 U.S.A.   [email protected]   (P. B.)

Corné Kreemer

2

Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology; Seismological Laboratory, University of Nevada, Reno

Nevada Bureau of Mines and Geology   University of Nevada Reno, Nevada 89557-0178 U.S.A.   [email protected]   (C. K.)

William E. Holt

3

Department of Geosciences, State University of New York, Stony Brook

Department of Geosciences   State University of New York   Stony Brook, New York 11794-2100 U.S.A.   [email protected]   (W.E.H.)

Publisher: Seismological Society of America

First Online: 09 Mar 2017

Online ISSN: 1938-2057

Print ISSN: 0895-0695

Seismological Research Letters (2010) 81 (2): 184–194.

https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.81.2.184

The Global Strain Rate Map (GSRM) of Kreemer et al. (2003) was the main result of Project II-8 of the International Lithosphere Program. The GSRM is a numerical velocity gradient tensor field model for the entire Earth's surface that describes the spatial variations of horizontal strain rate tensor components, rotation rates, and velocities. The model consists of 25 rigid spherical plates and ∼25,000 0.6° by 0.5° deformable grid areas within the diffuse plate boundary zones (e.g., western North America, central Asia, Alpine-Himalaya belt). The model provides an estimate of the horizontal strain rates in diffuse plate...

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