Niels Bohr once observed: “How wonderful that we have met with a paradox. Now we have some hope of making progress.” This situation is happening in the long-frustrating effort to understand large earthquakes in continental interiors.
The paradox arises from a series of GPS studies across the New Madrid seismic zone (NMSZ). Large (magnitude >7) earthquakes felt across the Midwest occurred here in 1811 and 1812, small earthquakes occur today, and paleoseismic records show evidence of large earthquakes about 500 years apart in the past 2,000 years. We thus expected to see strain building up for a future large earthquake,...
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