The Lesser Antilles, in the eastern Caribbean, is prone to a large seismic hazard due to the subduction of the Atlantic lithosphere beneath the Caribbean plate, with a slow convergence rate of 2 cm/yr (Demets et al. 2000; Mann et al. 2002). The largest historical earthquake in the region, in 1843 between Guadeloupe and Antigua, had a magnitude estimate of 7.5 to 8 (Bernard and Lambert 1988), but historical seismicity covers too short a period of time (less than three and one-half centuries) to estimate the recurrence time of strong events or their plausible maximum...

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