A new understanding of the way fluid-saturated microcracked rocks deform suggests that networks of stress-monitoring sites could lead to earthquake forecasting analogous to the way networks of meteorological stations allow weather forecasting and prediction of storms. This new understanding is believed to be a major advance that otters more hope for forecasting earthquakes than was envisioned in the survey Living on an Active Earth: Perspectives on Earthquake Science of the National Research Council's Committee on the Science of Earthquakes, summarized by Tom Jordan in the Opinion for August 2002. This Opinion may also be considered as a response to the...

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