For about the past year, I have been engaged in a behavior that some seismologists would consider ridiculous, others foolish, others amusing, and still others a waste of time. What could I have been doing that would raise such opinions in so many colleagues? Well, I have been issuing regular and frequent earthquake forecasts. I have been doing this publicly for New England and privately to a few colleagues for California. So far, there has yet to be a time when an earthquake that I have forecast has actually occurred (well, maybe one). However, that has not discouraged me. I...

First Page Preview

First page PDF preview
You do not currently have access to this article.