For about the past year, I have been engaged in a behavior that some seismologists would consider ridiculous, others foolish, others amusing, and still others a waste of time. What could I have been doing that would raise such opinions in so many colleagues? Well, I have been issuing regular and frequent earthquake forecasts. I have been doing this publicly for New England and privately to a few colleagues for California. So far, there has yet to be a time when an earthquake that I have forecast has actually occurred (well, maybe one). However, that has not discouraged me. I...
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