Earthquake risk assessment has been described as “a game of chance of which we still don't know all the rules” (Lomnitz, 1989). This challenge is illustrated by attempts to estimate the seismic hazard for parts of the central U.S. due to earthquakes in the New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ). The U.S. Geological Survey National Seismic Hazard Maps predict that the seismic hazard in the area is surprisingly high, in some ways exceeding that in California. These predictions reflect crucial parameter assumptions, many of which have considerable uncertainty due to the absence of instrumental data from any but small...
Uncertainties in Seismic Hazard Maps for the New Madrid Seismic Zone and Implications for Seismic Hazard Communication
Department of Geological Sciences, Northwestern University, Evanston IL 60208
Now at Department of Earth Sciences, University of California at Santa Cruz
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Andrew Newman, John Schneider, Seth Stein, Andres Mendez; Uncertainties in Seismic Hazard Maps for the New Madrid Seismic Zone and Implications for Seismic Hazard Communication. Seismological Research Letters ; 72 (6): 647–663. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.72.6.647
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