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Journal Article

Pseudoprospective Evaluation of UCERF3‐ETAS Forecasts during the 2019 Ridgecrest Sequence

William H. Savran, Maximilian J. Werner, Warner Marzocchi, David A. Rhoades, David D. Jackson, Kevin Milner, Edward Field, Andrew Michael
Published: 21 July 2020
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2020) 110 (4): 1799–1817.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200026
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Journal Article

Testing the Classic 1988 Forecast

David D. Jackson
Published: 13 June 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (4): 1288–1297.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180039
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The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: Achievements and Priorities

Danijel Schorlemmer, Maximilian J. Werner, Warner Marzocchi, Thomas H. Jordan, Yosihiko Ogata, David D. Jackson, Sum Mak, David A. Rhoades, Matthew C. Gerstenberger, Naoshi Hirata, Maria Liukis, Philip J. Maechling, Anne Strader, Matteo Taroni, Stefan Wiemer, Jeremy D. Zechar, Jiancang Zhuang
Published: 13 June 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (4): 1305–1313.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180053
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Long‐Term Time‐Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

Edward H. Field, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, II, Yuehua Zeng
Published: 10 March 2015
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2015) 105 (2A): 511–543.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140093
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Journal Article

Magnitude Limits of Subduction Zone Earthquakes

Yufang Rong, David D. Jackson, Harold Magistrale, Chris Goldfinger
Published: 16 September 2014
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2014) 104 (5): 2359–2377.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130287
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Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)—The Time‐Independent Model

Edward H. Field, Ramon J. Arrowsmith, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, II, Yuehua Zeng
Published: 01 June 2014
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2014) 104 (3): 1122–1180.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130164
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Journal Article

Tohoku Earthquake: A Surprise?

Yan Y. Kagan, David D. Jackson
Published: 01 May 2013
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2013) 103 (2B): 1181–1194.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120120110
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A Stochastic Forecast of California Earthquakes Based on Fault Slip and Smoothed Seismicity

Stefan Hiemer, David D. Jackson, Qi Wang, Yan Y. Kagan, Jochen Woessner, Jeremy D. Zechar, Stefan Wiemer
Published: 01 April 2013
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2013) 103 (2A): 799–810.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120120168
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Characteristic Earthquake Model, 1884–2011, R.I.P.

Yan Y. Kagan, David D. Jackson, Robert J. Geller
Published: 01 November 2012
Seismological Research Letters (2012) 83 (6): 951–953.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220120107
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Comparison of ETAS Parameter Estimates across Different Global Tectonic Zones

Annie Chu, Frederic P. Schoenberg, Peter Bird, David D. Jackson, Yan Y. Kagan
Published: 01 October 2011
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2011) 101 (5): 2323–2339.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120100115
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High-Resolution Long-Term and Short-Term Earthquake Forecasts for California

Maximilian J. Werner, Agnès Helmstetter, David D. Jackson, Yan Y. Kagan
Published: 01 August 2011
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2011) 101 (4): 1630–1648.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120090340
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Journal Article

California Earthquake Forecasts Based on Smoothed Seismicity: Model Choices

Qi Wang, David D. Jackson, Yan Y. Kagan
Published: 01 June 2011
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2011) 101 (3): 1422–1430.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120100125
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Journal Article

Standard Errors of Parameter Estimates in the ETAS Model

Qi Wang, Frederic Paik Schoenberg, David D. Jackson
Published: 01 October 2010
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2010) 100 (5A): 1989–2001.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120100001
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Journal Article

California Earthquakes, 1800–2007: A Unified Catalog with Moment Magnitudes, Uncertainties, and Focal Mechanisms

Qi Wang, David D. Jackson, Yan Y. Kagan
Published: 01 May 2009
Seismological Research Letters (2009) 80 (3): 446–457.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.80.3.446
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Journal Article

Probability of Multifault Rupture

Natanya M. Black, David D. Jackson
Published: 01 December 2008
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2008) 98 (6): 3017–3024.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120070271
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Journal Article

High-resolution Time-independent Grid-based Forecast for M ≥ 5 Earthquakes in California

Agnés Helmstetter, Yan Y. Kagan, David D. Jackson
Published: 01 January 2007
Seismological Research Letters (2007) 78 (1): 78–86.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.78.1.78
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A Testable Five-Year Forecast of Moderate and Large Earthquakes in Southern California Based on Smoothed Seismicity

Yan Y. Kagan, David D. Jackson, Yufang Rong
Published: 01 January 2007
Seismological Research Letters (2007) 78 (1): 94–98.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.78.1.94
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Implications of Geodetic Strain Rate for Future Earthquakes, with a Five-Year Forecast of M5 Earthquakes in Southern California

Zheng-Kang Shen, David D. Jackson, Yan Y. Kagan
Published: 01 January 2007
Seismological Research Letters (2007) 78 (1): 116–120.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.78.1.116
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Journal Article

Comparison of Short-Term and Time-Independent Earthquake Forecast Models for Southern California

Agnès Helmstetter, Yan Y. Kagan, David D. Jackson
Published: 01 February 2006
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2006) 96 (1): 90–106.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120050067
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Journal Article

A New Catalog of Southern California Earthquakes, 1800–2005

Yan Y. Kagan, David D. Jackson, Yufang Rong
Published: 01 January 2006
Seismological Research Letters (2006) 77 (1): 30–38.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.77.1.30
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