Detecting, Modelling and Responding to Effusive Eruptions
CONTAINS OPEN ACCESS
For effusive volcanoes in resource-poor regions, there is a pressing need for a crisis response-chain bridging the global scientific community to allow provision of standard products for timely humanitarian response. As a first step in attaining this need, this Special Publication provides a complete directory of current operational capabilities for monitoring effusive eruptions. This volume also reviews the state-of-the-art in terms of satellite-based volcano hot-spot tracking and lava-flow simulation. These capabilities are demonstrated using case studies taken from well-known effusive events that have occurred worldwide over the last two decades at volcanoes such as Piton de la Fournaise, Etna, Stromboli and Kilauea. We also provide case-type response models implemented at the same volcanoes, as well as the results of a community-wide drill used to test a fully-integrated response focused on an operational hazard-GIS. Finally, the objectives and recommendations of the ‘Risk Evaluation, Detection and Simulation during Effusive Eruption Disasters’ working group are laid out in a statement of community needs by its members.
Benchmarking lava-flow models
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Published:January 01, 2016
Abstract
Prediction of the emplacement of volcanic mass flows (lava flows, pyroclastic density currents, debris avalanches and debris flows) is required for hazard and risk assessment, and for the planning of risk-mitigation measures. Numerical computer-based models now exist that are capable of approximating the motion of a given volume of volcanic material from its source to the deposition area. With these advances in technology, it is useful to compare the various codes in order to evaluate their respective suitability for real-time forecasting, risk preparedness and post-eruptive response. A ‘benchmark’ compares codes or methods, all aimed at simulating the same physical process using common initial and boundary conditions and outputs, but using different physical formulations, mathematical approaches and numerical techniques. We set up the basis for a future general benchmarking exercise on volcanic mass-flow models and, more specifically, establish a benchmark series for computational lava-flow modelling. We describe a set of benchmarks in this paper, and present a few sample results to demonstrate output analysis and code evaluation methodologies. The associated web-based communal facility for sharing test scenarios and results is also described.
- accuracy
- computer languages
- computer networks
- computer programs
- data processing
- flow mechanism
- geologic hazards
- information management
- lava flows
- mass movements
- mathematical methods
- natural hazards
- numerical models
- prediction
- probability
- properties
- quality control
- reliability
- rheology
- risk assessment
- simulation
- standardization
- statistical analysis
- theoretical models
- volcanic risk
- volcanism
- volcanology
- benchmarking
- SCIARA
- FLOWGO
- DOWNFLOW
- MAGFLOW
- LavaSIM
- VOLCFLOW
- RHEOLEF
- NB3D
- FLOW 3D
- OPENFOAM
- GPUSPH