We use a Bayesian analysis to determine the state of stress from focal mechanisms in ten seismic zones in central and eastern North America and compare it with regional stress inferred from borehole measurements. Comparisons of the seismologically determined azimuth of the maximum horizontal compressive stress (SHS) with that determined from boreholes (SHB) exhibit a bimodal pattern: In four zones, the SHS and regional SHB orientations are closely parallel, whereas in the Charlevoix, Lower St. Lawrence, and Central Virginia zones, the SHS azimuth shows a statistically significant 30°–50° clockwise rotation relative to the regional SHB azimuth. This pattern is exemplified by the northwest and southeast seismicity clusters in Charlevoix, which yield SHS orientations strictly parallel and strongly oblique, respectively, to the regional SHB trend. Similar ∼30° clockwise rotations are found for the North Appalachian zone and for the 2003 Bardwell earthquake sequence north of the New Madrid zone. The SHB/SHS rotations occur over 20–100 km in each seismic zone, but they are observed in zones separated by distances of up to 1500 km. A possible mechanism for the stress rotations may be the interaction between a long-wavelength stress perturbation source, such as postglacial rebound, and local stress concentrators, such as low-friction faults. The latter would allow low-magnitude (<10 MPa) postglacial rebound stresses to locally perturb the preexisting stress field in some seismic zones, whereas postglacial rebound stresses have little effect on the intraplate state of stress in general.
As in most continental intraplate regions, stress orientations in central and eastern North America are broadly homogeneous and consistent over 1000–5000 km spatial scales (e.g., Zoback and Zoback, 1980, 1991; Zoback, 1992a). East of the Cordillera deformation front, the main characteristic of the tectonic stress field is a NE-SW axis of maximum horizontal compressive stress (SH), which is commonly attributed to far-field plate-boundary forces, and in particular to Mid-Atlantic Ridge push (Zoback, 1992a; Richardson, 1992). In a case study of 32 eastern North American earthquakes, Zoback (1992b) noted that most focal mechanisms were compatible with the regional stress field inferred from borehole data. However, five mechanisms suggested local stress perturbations, and two other events implied atypical frictional conditions (e.g., superlithostatic pore-fluid pressure).
The spatial distribution of earthquakes in central and eastern North America is largely associated with late Proterozoic Iapetus Rift structures (e.g., Adams and Basham, 1991; Johnston et al., 1994). As shown in Figure 1, the main concentrations of both small and large earthquakes lie along the rifted margin itself or failed rift arms. The Iapetus structures are typically reactivated under the present-day stress field as thrust or strike-slip faults. Aside from this first-order correlation, rather little is known about the geological and geophysical conditions generating intraplate earthquakes and the associated hazard (cf. Stein and Mazzotti, 2007, and references therein). Thus, characterization of the regional stress field and local state of stress is essential for improving our understanding of the source of intraplate seismicity and better quantifying seismic hazard.
In this study, we analyze a newly compiled data set of focal mechanisms to estimate stress parameters and characterize the prevailing state of stress within ten of the main seismic zones of central and eastern North America. We compare our results with regional borehole stress information from the World Stress Map and Canadian Crustal Stress databases to determine the consistency of seismological and borehole estimates of the state of stress near the seismic zones and to elucidate potential stress perturbations associated with regionally elevated earthquake activity.
DATA SETS AND STRESS ESTIMATION TECHNIQUE
The earthquake focal mechanism data set is shown in Figure 1. (See supplementary material for references and focal mechanism octant plots.1) It constitutes mostly first-motion solutions complemented by a small number of moment tensors (∼15% of the total). In most cases, a quality factor was provided in the original study in the form of a qualitative level (A–D) or a quantitative angular uncertainty. In order to obtain a coherent set of inversion results, we standardized these quality rankings by assigning small (±15°), medium (±25°), or large (±35°) uncertainties to each mechanism's strike, dip, and rake angles, which are assumed to be independent (cf. Walsh et al., 2009). In those cases in which the original study did not provide a quality level, we assigned an uncertainty level on the basis of the data-analysis description. In addition, focal mechanism uncertainties were adjusted on the basis of earthquake magnitudes to take into account the potentially higher uncertainty and lower quality of small-magnitude solutions: all M < 2.5 and 2.5 ≤ M < 3.5 mechanisms were assigned large and medium uncertainties (±35° and ± 25°), respectively.
We focus on ten of the main eastern North American seismic zones, which we define as areas encompassing more than five focal mechanisms within a distinct geological and seismological area (Fig. 1). The Lower St. Lawrence, Charlevoix, Montreal, and Eastern Tennessee zones are associated with the Iapetus rifted margin, and the Ottawa and New Madrid zones are associated with Iapetus failed rift arms (Adams and Basham, 1991; Wheeler, 1995). The Gatineau seismic zone may be related to the trace of the New England Seamount Chain hotspot (Adams and Basham, 1991). The North Appalachian, Central Virginia, and Charleston seismic zones are not affiliated with clear lithosphere-scale structures: in the first two, the seismicity occurs within the Appalachian formations that overlie rifted Grenville crust (Munsey and Bollinger, 1985; Adams and Basham, 1991). Other seismicity clusters can be identified in central and eastern North America, but the paucity of focal mechanisms precludes any stress analysis.
Seismological Stress Estimation
We used a Bayesian estimation technique (Arnold and Townend, 2007) to determine the set of stress parameters most consistent with the focal mechanisms in a given group. We weighted each focal mechanism by converting the aforementioned angular errors to a scalar Matrix Fisher concentration parameter (Equation A12 of Arnold and Townend, 2007). This approach yields a joint probability density function of the three angles specifying the principal stress axes’ orientations and a single stress magnitude ratio parameter. Its principal advantages, in comparison with other stress estimation algorithms, are the incorporations of focal mechanism uncertainties, nodal plane ambiguity, and the weak constraint imposed on the stress tensor by any single focal mechanism. This last point is particularly important because it allows us to derive confidence intervals for the stress tensor parameters that take into account the degree of similarity between focal mechanisms within individual seismic zones (Arnold and Townend, 2007). As shown in the octant plots (supplementary material [see footnote 1]), the diversity of mechanisms can vary significantly between zones.
We computed the trend of the axis of maximum horizontal compressive stress (SH) using the algorithm described by Lund and Townend (2007). Such a transformation is necessary when none of the three principal stresses is strictly vertical, and it enables all four determinable parameters to be amalgamated into a single, physically intuitive and readily illustrated parameter. This produces a probabilistic description of SH from which we can compute the median trend and associated confidence intervals.
Borehole Stress Data
In order to perform a detailed comparison of our seismological stress estimates with borehole crustal stress measurements on a regional scale, we extracted stress magnitude and orientation data from the World Stress Map and the Canadian Crustal Stress databases (Zoback, 1992a; Adams, 1995; Heidbach et al., 2008). For each seismic zone, we calculated a weighted mean SH orientation for borehole breakout and hydrofracture measurements with qualities of A, B, or C made at depths greater than 0.5 km within 250 km of each seismic zone. The weighted mean and its associated standard deviation were estimated by assigning weights of 3, 2, and 1 to the A, B, and C quality SH measurements, respectively. In most cases, the borehole SH data are located outside of the seismic zones and are unevenly distributed. Because of the strong regional coherence of the borehole stress orientations over distances of hundreds of kilometers (Zoback, 1992a), we assume that these 250 km SH averages provide appropriate estimates of the regional stress orientation outside of the seismic zones.
Eastern North America
The results are shown in Figures 2 and 3 and listed in Table 1 in terms of median SHS trend and 90% confidence interval (90CIS); the subscript “S” is used to denote a seismological estimate. The 90% confidence interval is ∼20°–40° in most cases. The Ottawa seismic zone stands out with a very large 90CIS of 132°, indicating that the directions of the principal horizontal stresses are not constrained by this small data set (eight mechanisms, two of which have large uncertainties). The results for this zone are not used for further discussion.
In all but one case, the estimated SHS orientation lies in the NE-SW quadrant, roughly parallel to the general SHB trend inferred from borehole measurements (Fig. 3); the subscript “B” is used to denote a borehole estimate. For the New Madrid, Eastern Tennessee, Montreal, and Gatineau seismic zones, the median seismological and average borehole SH orientations (SHS and SHB, respectively) are consistent to within 5°–15°, well within the respective 90% confidence intervals. The lack of borehole SHB data within 250 km of the Charleston seismic zone precludes a direct comparison with the SHS orientation. However, the nearest SHB measurement (C quality at 255 km) has an orientation that lies within the 90% confidence interval of SHS (Fig. 2). For the North Appalachian seismic zone, the median SHS and average SHB values differ by 33°, but the 90% confidence intervals overlap by 13° (Fig. 2). The three remaining seismic zones (Central Virginia, Lower St. Lawrence, and Charlevoix) show statistically significant differences between SHS and SHB azimuths and are discussed in more detail in the following sections.
Central Virginia Seismic Zone
The state of stress in the Central Virginia seismic zone was determined by the focal mechanisms of 11 small earthquakes (M < 3) recorded during 4 yr in the early 1980s (Munsey and Bollinger, 1985), complemented by two M ∼4 earthquakes that occurred in 2003. These events all occurred at regionally typical depths shallower than ∼15 km within the allochthonous, thrust-faulted, Appalachian formations that override the Precambrian Grenville basement (Bollinger et al., 1985; Munsey and Bollinger, 1985).
The SHS orientation is rotated 48° clockwise with respect to the regional borehole SHB trend, and the 90% confidence intervals of SHS and SHB are separated by 13° (Table 1; Fig. 2), indicating that the two estimates are significantly distinct. Using the same data set, excluding the 2003 events, Kim and Chapman (2005) inferred a slightly larger clockwise rotation of SHS relative to SHB (∼68°), with an azimuth and plunge of N133° and 14°SE for the S1 axis (cf. N086° and 7°W for our results; Fig. 2). The difference in orientation and plunge of S1 between the two analyses may be in part due to the difference in the stress inversion technique (Bayesian versus grid-search). Alternatively, the difference in results may reflect the small difference in the data sets in relation to the complexity of the seismological state of stress in the Central Virginia seismic zone. The 13 focal mechanisms have P axis orientations in both NE-SW and NW-SE directions, suggesting that the stress regime may change from mainly thrust to mainly strike slip with depth (Munsey and Bollinger, 1985).
Lower St. Lawrence Seismic Zone
The Lower St. Lawrence seismic zone is delineated by pronounced microseismicity located mainly beneath the St. Lawrence River (Fig. 1) (Adams and Basham, 1991). The best-constrained hypocenters place the earthquakes between 7 and 25 km depth, within the rifted Precambrian Grenville basement and well below the overthrust Appalachian formations (Adams and Basham, 1991; Lamontagne et al., 2003). Although tentative correlations have been made between the earthquakes and the Iapetus Rift faults, most of the seismicity appears to occur within fractured volumes of the rift system rather than on the main rift faults themselves (Lamontagne et al., 2003).
The SHS orientation is rotated 44° clockwise compared to the regional borehole stress orientation SHB (Table 1; Fig. 2). The 90% confidence intervals for the two estimates are separated by 8°, indicating a statistically significant difference. There are two important caveats with regard to this observation: (1) the SHB orientation and standard error are only based on two B quality data points (individual azimuths of 54° and 65°; Fig. 3); and (2) the SHS orientation is only defined by 12 mechanisms, exhibiting a relatively low diversity and hence yielding a relatively large 90CIS value. Notwithstanding these points, the seismological versus borehole stress rotation appears to be robust, and the borehole SHB orientation is similar to the general direction for eastern Canada (Fig. 3). The seismological SHS value is stable for several tested combinations of eight or more (out of 12) mechanisms and yields a SHS orientation between N100° and N120°, in all cases strongly oblique to the regional borehole data.
Charlevoix Seismic Zone
The Charlevoix seismic zone is one of the historically most active earthquake concentrations in eastern North America, with five M ≥ 6 earthquakes since 1663 (Lamontagne, 1987; Adams and Basham, 1991). Most earthquakes occur between 5 and 25 km depth beneath the St. Lawrence River. The main geological structures are related to the ca. 1100 Ma Grenville orogeny, ca. 650 Ma Iapetus rifting, ca. 450 Ma Appalachian orogeny, and a large meteor impact ca. 350 Ma. Using remote-sensing, seismic, and potential field data, Lamontagne et al. (2000) identified the Saint-Laurent and Charlevoix faults (Fig. 4) as the main Iapetus Rift faults and the principal structures in the seismic zone.
No clear association can be found between the seismicity and the main fault structures (e.g., Lamontagne et al., 2000), but a first-order NW-SE clustering pattern is apparent in the earthquakes’ epicenters. As shown in Figure 4, a largely aseismic, ∼5-km-wide zone separates two distinct microseismicity clusters to the southeast (mostly beneath the river) and the northwest (mostly beneath the north shore; Anglin and Buchbinder, 1981). This gap coincides with an elongated high-seismic-velocity body (Vlahovic et al., 2003) and with the location of the Saint-Laurent fault (Fig. 4, cross section).
Analysis of the 60 focal mechanisms in the Charlevoix seismic zone yields a SHS orientation of N086°, rotated 32° clockwise relative to the regional SHB from nearby boreholes (Table 1; Fig. 2). The 90% confidence intervals for the two estimates are distinct by 4°. The large number of focal mechanisms allows us to test for spatial variations in stress orientations amongst subsets of events. The most significant difference in SHS orientation exists between the focal mechanism clusters to the southeast and northwest of the Saint-Laurent fault (Fig. 4). For the northwest group, SHS is oriented N055°, parallel to the regional borehole data, whereas SHS for the southeast group is oriented N101° and rotated clockwise by 47° compared to the borehole trend (Table 1; Fig. 4). This rotation is significant at the 90% confidence level, with a separation of 21° between the seismological and borehole confidence intervals. Various earthquake grouping and inversion tests (supplementary material [see footnote 1]) indicate that the NW-SE clustering is the grouping associated with the most significant rotation.
The 1925 Charlevoix M = 6.2 earthquake ruptured a steeply dipping thrust fault striking parallel to the regional SH orientation (Bent, 1992; Fig. 4). The rotated SHS observed for the southeast side of the Charlevoix seismic zone is more compatible than the regional SH direction with the focal mechanism of the 1925 event, as well as with numerous smaller thrust events that have fault planes striking NE-SW.
Consistency and Extent of Stress Rotations
Out of the ten seismic zones addressed in this study, the Central Virginia, Lower St. Lawrence, and Charlevoix seismic zones each show a 30°–50° clockwise rotation of the seismic SHS orientation relative to the regional borehole SHB orientation that is significant at the 90% confidence level. A similar clockwise rotation of 32° is observed for the North Appalachian seismic zone, albeit with a 12° overlap of the seismological and borehole 90% confidence intervals (Fig. 2). Although not statistically significant, that result is worth noting in comparison with the 48° clockwise rotation observed in the Central Virginia seismic zone: both seismic zones exhibit clusters of earthquakes confined to the shallow (<15 km) Appalachian formations that override the deeper Grenville basement (Bollinger et al., 1985; Adams and Basham, 1991).
A similar, although slightly smaller, clockwise rotation can be deduced for the 2003 M = 4.0 Bardwell earthquake sequence north of the New Madrid seismic zone. For the main shock and aftershock sequence, Horton et al. (2005) derived a S1 orientation of N104° with an uncertainty of approximately ±20°. Assuming that SHS = S1, this result indicates a clockwise rotation of 20°–30° compared to our median estimates of SHS for the New Madrid focal mechanisms (excluding the Bardwell sequence) and SHB from nearby borehole data (Table 1; Fig. 2). Although not statistically significant, this apparent rotation suggests that large variations in stress orientation can occur over a distance of ∼40 km in the New Madrid–Wabash Valley area (Horton et al., 2005), similar to the ∼20 km distance that separates the two seismic clusters in the Charlevoix seismic zone.
It is important to consider whether the apparent stress rotations are artifacts stemming from the comparison between relatively shallow borehole data (0.5–2 km) and deeper seismicity (1–30 km). Vertical variations in stress orientations have been reported over depth intervals of 100–1000 m in individual boreholes (e.g., Hickman and Zoback, 2004), but in general, deep borehole- and earthquake-determined stress orientations are similar and can be jointly accounted for in terms of, for instance, dynamical modeling results (e.g., Townend and Zoback, 2004). Moreover, the eastern and western Charlevoix results are based on earthquakes at comparable depths. Hence, we consider it unlikely that the observed rotations are depth-related artifacts.
Overall, therefore, we find that the angular difference between SHS and SHB exhibits a bimodal pattern: four seismic zones exhibit good agreement between seismological and borehole estimates of the SH orientation (Gatineau, Montreal, Eastern Tennessee, and New Madrid), and five imply 30°–50° clockwise rotations of the seismological SHS relative to the regional borehole SHB (Lower St. Lawrence, Charlevoix, Central Virginia, and, to a lesser extent, North Appalachian and Bardwell–northern New Madrid). In the case of the Lower St. Lawrence, Central Virginia, and North Appalachian, the rotation between SHS inside the seismic zone and SHB outside the seismic zone occurs over distances of 50–100 km (Fig. 3). For Charlevoix and Bardwell–northern New Madrid, the rotation occurs over 20–40 km (Fig. 4). In the following section, we consider the magnitude and potential causes of the stress perturbation required to account for the 30°–50° clockwise rotation of the horizontal principal stresses over such short distances.
Magnitude of the Stress Perturbations
In order to obtain a first-order estimate of the stress perturbation causing the observed rotations, we consider the model of Sonder (1990) and Zoback (1992a). In this model, the orientation of the maximum horizontal compressive stress (represented here by SHS) in the vicinity of a major structure can be calculated in terms of a regional stress orientation (represented here by SHB) and a uniaxial stress perturbation (SL) orthogonal to the strike of the structure. We assume that, for the Charlevoix, Lower St. Lawrence, and Central Virginia seismic zones, the stress responsible for the local rotation is perpendicular to the average local Iapetus Rift direction (Fig. 1). With this assumption, the magnitude of the uniaxial stress perturbation SL is found using Equation 8 of Zoback (1992a) to be 80%–110% that of the regional horizontal differential stress (i.e., [SH – Sh]/SL ∼ 0.8–1.1; Table 2).
Deep intraplate borehole data from a number of locations worldwide reveal that at depths of as much as 8 km, the crust is in a state of stress consistent with incipient frictional failure given coefficients of friction μ ≈ 0.6–1.0 and the observed near-hydrostatic pore-fluid pressures (λ ≈ 0.4; Townend and Zoback, 2000). Similarly, stress magnitude data from boreholes in central and eastern North America (Adams and Bell, 1991; Adams, 1995; Heidbach et al., 2008) show a relationship between differential stress (S1 – S3) and effective mean stress that is consistent with incipient frictional failure for coefficients of friction μ > 0.5 (Fig. 5). Also illustrated in Figure 5, a histogram of stress ratio measurements from the same boreholes exhibits a pronounced peak at 0.5 ≤ RB ≤ 0.8 and mean of RB = 0.6, with few values smaller than 0.4. The majority of these borehole stress measurements are located in the Canadian Shield, west and north of the main seismic zones. Thus, they may be considered as constituting a reference state of stress for the continental crust outside of seismically active regions.
If we assume that the stress magnitude parameters in each seismic zone are similar to those in intraplate continental crust as a whole (μ = 0.8, λ = 0.4, R = 0.6, ρ = 2700 kg m−3; see Appendix A for details), the differential stress in the horizontal plane at a mid-seismogenic zone depth of 8 km is SH – Sh = S1 – S2 ≈ 250 MPa for a reverse stress state, and SH – Sh = S1 – S3 ≈ 160 MPa for a strike-slip stress state. This analysis suggests that a local stress perturbation SL of comparable magnitude is required to locally reorient SHB by 30°–50°, as implied by the Lower St. Lawrence, Charlevoix, and Central Virginia stress orientation results.
Such high stress magnitudes clearly depend on the assumed friction coefficient and the fluid pressure regime. If we assume that either a low friction coefficient (μ = 0.1) or a near-lithostatic pore-fluid pressure (λ ≈ 0.9) prevails in the seismic zones, the horizontal differential stress and the corresponding stress perturbation SL would be of the order of only ∼20–40 MPa. However, the low ambient stress magnitudes implied by those parameters contrast markedly with the values thought to characterize aseismic or low-seismicity intraplate continental crust as a whole, as outlined herein (Fig. 5).
Potential Sources of the Stress Perturbations
The consistency of the 30°–50° clockwise stress rotations observed from the St. Lawrence valley to the central Appalachians (and possibly to the New Madrid–Wabash Valley) suggests a similar mechanism or source for seismic zones separated by large distances. The calculations discussed in the previous section imply a stress perturbation at mid-seismogenic depths of 160–250 MPa (in a representative high-friction, low-fluid-pressure case) or 20–40 MPa (low friction or high fluid pressure) and a maximum horizontal stress SL trending approximately N115°–135° (Table 2).
Various mechanisms have been proposed as potential sources of local and regional stress perturbations, including topography, crustal density anomalies, fault intersections, flexure under local loads (e.g., sedimentary basins), and postglacial rebound (e.g., Stein et al., 1989; Talwani, 1988; Zoback, 1992a; Assameur and Mareschal, 1995). Most of these mechanisms account for stress perturbations of at most a few tens of megapascals and would only result in significant horizontal stress rotations if prevailing horizontal stresses were at the low end of stress levels calculated here. Flexural stresses may reach several hundred megapascals under sediment loads of 10 km thickness (Stein et al., 1989), but such conditions do not appear applicable to continental seismic zones. Similarly, large crustal density anomalies have been demonstrated to produce stress perturbations of as much as ∼200 MPa and rotations of up to 90° (Zoback and Richardson, 1996). However, gravity and seismic velocity data do not indicate the presence of widespread high-density anomalies associated with the Iapetus Rift structures in the Charlevoix and Lower St. Lawrence seismic zones (Lamontagne et al., 2000, 2003).
One possible mechanism by which consistent local stress perturbations may be generated over large distances is the concentration of postglacial rebound stresses by local zones of weakness, perhaps including low-friction faults. Postglacial rebound stresses show a strong spatial coherence over distances of thousands of kilometers, but they are typically smaller than ∼10 MPa (e.g., Wu and Hasegawa, 1996). However, the presence of a “weak zone” in the lithosphere, such as low upper-mantle viscosity or a low-friction fault in the crust, can result in stress amplifications by a factor of 5–10 with respect to homogeneous lithosphere models (e.g., Grollimund and Zoback, 2001; Wu and Mazzotti, 2007). In such cases, the modulation of large-scale, small-amplitude postglacial rebound stresses by local zones of weakness could produce perturbations that are coherent over large distances but only affect those areas with locally reduced horizontal differential stress levels. In other words, postglacial rebound stresses may be high enough to reorient the local stress field surrounding faults with low friction or other properties that maintain ambient stress at levels lower than in the “typical low-seismicity” continental intraplate crust.
The St. Lawrence Valley may provide possible examples of this mechanism. In both the Lower St. Lawrence and Charlevoix seismic zones, the estimated SHS orientation is strongly oblique to the regional SHB orientation derived from borehole data located 30–100 km outside the seismic zones (Fig. 3). In Charlevoix, the relationships between the seismicity distribution and geological structures jointly suggest that the main rift faults may have unusually low friction (μ ∼ 0.1; Baird et al., 2009). Recent models of postglacial rebound stress and strain that incorporate a weak zone in the lithosphere beneath the St. Lawrence Valley show a significant amplification and clockwise rotation of the postglacial rebound stresses directly above the weak zone (Wu and Mazzotti, 2007). The resulting postglacial rebound horizontal stress and strain orientations are nearly parallel to our estimated SHS orientation and to the maximum horizontal contraction rate measured by global positioning system in the Charlevoix and Lower St. Lawrence seismic zones (Mazzotti et al., 2005, 2006).
(1) Comparisons of the axis of maximum horizontal compressive stress determined from earthquake focal mechanisms in seismic zones (SHS) and from borehole data near but outside the seismic zones (SHB) reveal a bimodal pattern: SHS and SHB are closely parallel in four seismic zones (Gatineau, Montreal, Eastern Tennessee, and New Madrid); in three other zones (Lower St. Lawrence, Charlevoix, and Central Virginia), SHS is rotated 30°–50° clockwise compared to SHB; two other zones (North Appalachian and Bardwell–northern New Madrid) show indications of similar clockwise rotations but at a low confidence level.
(2) The observed SHS versus SHB rotations are similar in both sense and magnitude in seismic zones separated by up to ∼1500 km.
(3) The observed SHS versus SHB rotations occur over distances of no more than 50–100 km. In two cases (SE versus NW Charlevoix and Bardwell versus New Madrid), the rotation appears to occur over a distance of 20–50 km.
(4) With respect to a simple model of stress rotations near structural boundaries, the observed SHS versus SHB rotations imply a local stress perturbation of 160–250 MPa at a representative depth of 8 km. This assumes that the crust in the seismic zones is in a state of stress similar to that of “typical, low-seismicity” continental crust as a whole, namely, incipient frictional failure with coefficients of friction μ ≈ 0.6–1.0 and near-hydrostatic pore-fluid pressures. If the seismic zones were characterized by either a very low coefficient of friction (μ = 0.1) or a near-lithostatic pore-fluid pressure, the required stress perturbation according to the model used here would be only 20–40 MPa.
(5) Local stress perturbations associated with fault intersections or large density anomalies could be sufficiently large (hundreds of megapascals) to account for the observed rotations, but their short wavelength (∼10–100 km) cannot explain similar SHS rotations over 1500 km (point 2).
(6) Long-wavelength (hundreds of kilometers) stress perturbation mechanisms such as topography, basin flexure, and postglacial rebound are typically associated with stress magnitudes of the order of tens of megapascals and thus cannot straightforwardly account for the observed SHS rotations if midcrustal stress magnitudes are of the order of hundreds of megapascals (point 4).
(7) A possible mechanism for similar stress perturbations over large distances is the concentration of postglacial rebound stresses by local zones of weakness, such as low-friction faults. This would result in long-wavelength perturbations affecting only the weak zones. The Lower St. Lawrence and Charlevoix seismic zones may be examples of such mechanism, where the SHS orientation in the seismic zones is parallel to that predicted by postglacial rebound models that incorporate a local weak zone (Mazzotti et al., 2006).
APPENDIX A. STRESS MAGNITUDES
We thank John Adams and Mark Zoback for ongoing discussions about eastern North America stress and seismicity, John Cassidy and Roy Hyndman for comments on a preliminary version of the manuscript, and Björn Lund for very detailed input during the review process. Allison Bent, Shutien Ma, Pradeed Talwani, and Maurice Lamontagne provided focal mechanisms and data assistance, and Ikuko Wada helped with an early analysis. This is Geological Survey of Canada contribution 20080471.