A Paradox of Power: Voices of Warning and Reason in the Geosciences

The 13 papers in this volume illustrate issues and opportunities confronting geologists as they bring their knowledge and understanding to bear in matters related to public health and welfare. Public decisions and decision-making processes in the face of geologic complexity and uncertainty are the subject of the first group of papers. In the second group, several “voice of warning” papers illustrate the use of geologic knowledge and research to warn the public of health hazards derived from geologic materials and processes. A third group of papers, in the “voice of reason” section, describes use of geologic knowledge to help lower the costs of mitigation and avoidance of geologic hazards. Finally, ethical and philosophical questions confronting geoscientists are discussed and issues of “truth” as related to the legal process and questions about the adequacy of information in making decisions about long-term radioactive waste disposal are discussed.
Seismic microzonation in the Pacific Northwest, with an example of earthquake hazard mapping in southwest British Columbia
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Published:January 01, 1998
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CiteCitation
Victor M. Levson, Patrick A. Monahan, Daniel G. Meldrum, Bryan D. Watts, Alex Sy, Li Yan, 1998. "Seismic microzonation in the Pacific Northwest, with an example of earthquake hazard mapping in southwest British Columbia", A Paradox of Power: Voices of Warning and Reason in the Geosciences, Charles W. Welby, Monica E. Gowan
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Abstract
Due to a general lack of exposed faults it is difficult to predict the location and timing of future earthquakes in the Pacific Northwest region. Other geologic and geo-technical site conditions that control soil behavior and consequent surface damage can, however, be readily identified. Earthquake-hazard maps that reflect these conditions thus can be used as a predictive tool for seismic policy development and emergency planning. Many seismically prone jurisdictions have not yet implemented earthquake hazard mapping programs, largely reflecting a lack of awareness of the utility of these maps. Demonstrated applications of the maps include identification of geologically vulnerable areas with critical facilities and selection of suitable areas for new facilities, prioritization of seismic upgrading programs, recognition of high hazard areas requiring special study or restricted development, assessment of property insurance, estimation of risk, and establishment of more stringent regulatory requirements where needed.
A pilot program in southwest British Columbia illustrates the methodology used to develop an earthquake-hazard map. Existing and new geotechnical data are integrated with surficial geology mapping in a geographic information system (GIS) format. Liquefaction and ground motion amplification hazards within each geological map unit are assessed both qualitatively and quantitatively.
Probabilistic assessments of liquefaction potential, using ground acceleration data from the National Building Code of Canada, include a measure of the severity of potential surface disruption that in turn is a function of the geotechnical characteristics, thickness, and depth of each liquefiable unit. Potential for ground-motion amplification was estimated by comparison of geological map units with soil classes adopted by the U.S. National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program. The hazard for each map unit was expressed as a range that reflects observed geological variation. The final hazard map, designed for land use and emergency planning purposes, shows a conservative default to the highest rating of either the liquefaction or amplification hazard.
- acceleration
- British Columbia
- Canada
- case studies
- cone penetration tests
- earthquakes
- geographic information systems
- geologic hazards
- ground motion
- information systems
- liquefaction
- mapping
- microzonation
- Pacific Northwest
- penetration tests
- seismic risk
- soil mechanics
- soils
- stability
- Western Canada
- Chilliwack British Columbia