Introduction
A simple mathematical tool based on regression analysis is proposed as an aid for delineating areas of arsenic contamination in ground water, during mapping of the endemic areas of south and central Bengal districts, West Bengal, that have long been identified as an issue of geogenic origin.
Regression Analysis
Let a set of variable yi is dependent on a fixed variable xi. The dependent variable is generally known as regressed variable and the independent variable is known as regressor variable.
The problem is to predict y from values those of x; To do this an approximating equation is fitted to data between x and y such that if estimated y is denoted by y' then Σ(y-y')2 tends to be minimum.
The approximating equation between x and y is known as least square regression equation. There are several approximating equations between x and y (Davis, 1973; Mayer, 1975), but for clarity, we shall use here straight line equation of the form,
For any xi, the observed value of Y is yi, and the expected value yi' = a + bxi, so that error, ei = y1-yi'
The sum of square of the errors (E) is
For, E to be minimum
and
From equations (1) and (2),
and
Equations (3) and (4) are known as normal equations
Solving the normal equations i.e., (3) and (4), values of a and b are determined.
So that, y = a + b. x can be determined
Results and Discussion
The chemical data were taken from field study carried out during the period 1992-95. Five sets of data from S 24-Paraganas district have been considered. Values above 50 ppb of As are taken, since those below 50 ppb are not specified in the analysed data.
Here the content of Fe are taken as independent variable xi, and the value of As as dependent variable, yi. The aim of the problem is to set up a correlation between Fe and As so that a standard linear equation of the form y= a+ b.x can be fitted between them. From this equation, values of yi i.e. As can be estimated for different values of Fe. The analyses of water samples from five different places are given in Table 1. Correlation between Fe and As has been determined, correlation coefficient being – 0.988 indicating that they are negatively correlated. Calculated Regression equation is given by
From the above equation it is possible to determine the contents of As in samples of ground water by knowing Fe at some other intermediate and adjoining areas. The method discussed here is quite simple and can be implemented theoretically with help of pocket calculator
If a correlation can be established between Fe and As from the analysed data, then the above procedure will be applicable in suspected zones.
Given the high cost and requirement of sophisticated analytical instruments involved in determination of As contents (occurring in ground water in ppb levels) both at field and laboratory, the present method may prove to be more acceptable for rapid estimation and quick dissemination of results to users.