ABSTRACT The deeply eroded Goat Rocks volcanic complex was a major locus of andesitic volcanism in the Cascade arc in southwest Washington during the late Pliocene to Pleistocene. This volcanic complex includes the remnants of multiple andesitic edifices over an area of ~200 km 2 , centered ~35 km north of Mount Adams on the arc axis. New 40 Ar/ 39 Ar ages for seven samples and U/Pb zircon ages for nine samples indicate a 2.5–2.9 m.y. eruptive history at Goat Rocks. Four eruptive stages are delineated: Tieton Peak (potentially 3.0–2.6 Ma), Bear Creek Mountain (>1.6–1.3 Ma), Lake Creek (1.1–0.6 Ma), and Old Snowy Mountain (0.4–0.1 Ma), each named for the major vent that was active during that time. Lake Creek volcano was the most voluminous of these edifices and probably rose at least 3400 m above sea level with a volume of ~60 km 3 , comparable to nearby active composite volcanoes. Thirty new bulk composition X-ray fluorescence (XRF) and inductively coupled plasma–mass spectrometry analyses from the volcanic complex are presented, in addition to 54 previously unpublished XRF analyses for samples collected by Don Swanson. The compositional variability is greatest in the early and late stages, ranging from basaltic andesite to rhyolite, whereas the more voluminous middle stages are dominated by andesite to dacite. The middle eruptive stages are interpreted to have been a time of peak thermal energy with a mature subvolcanic plexus. In addition, compositions shift from high-K to medium-K compositions with time, which mimics variation across the arc; early eruptive products are similar in composition to those of Mount Adams, and Old Snowy Mountain stage compositions are more similar to those of Mount St. Helens. The life cycle of Goat Rocks volcanic complex provides new perspective on the longevity and evolution of major arc volcanoes, and on the complex distribution of magma in the Cascade arc at the latitudes of southern Washington and adjacent Oregon.

Geologists create volcanic hazard maps using scientific data to portray potential future geological events; the end users are principally public safety officials. Typical maps use a few simple polygons to outline areas of potential inundation or cover by a few categories of flows based on past frequency and size. Uncertainties in data regarding flow characteristics complicate the construction of accurate hazard maps. Generally, there are inadequate exposures of good sections, poorly known extents of units, and imprecise volumes for deposits. Crisis conditions limit the time available for field and laboratory work. Computer models can simulate possible scenarios, but the volumes, styles of emplacement, and source starting locations are poorly known in many cases. The large uncertainty in initial conditions is seldom taken into account in the construction of hazard maps, and these uncertainties are rarely passed on to the end users of the maps. TITAN2D is a computational model for volcanic block-and-ash flows and rock avalanches of various types and scales, and it forms the core of the TITAN toolkit for volcanic hazard analysis, which can integrate high-performance computing, database management, and visualization to a very sophisticated level. TITAN provides a solution to mapping problems by providing a probabilistic calculation of inundation depth that takes into account many of the critical uncertainties.

Abstract Volcanoes are not randomly distributed over the Earth's surface. Most are concentrated on the edges of continents, along island chains, or beneath the sea where they form long mountain ranges. More than half of the world's active volcanoes above sea level encircle the Pacific Ocean (see Fig. 1 ). The concept of plate tectonics explains the locations of volcanoes and their relationship to other large-scale geologic features. The Earth's surface is made up of a patchwork of about a dozen large plates and a number of smaller ones that move relative to one another at <1 cm to ~10 cm/yr (about the speed at which fingernails grow). These rigid plates, with average thickness of ~80 km, are separating, sliding past each other, or colliding on top of the Earth's hot, viscous interior. Volcanoes tend to form where plates collide or spread apart ( Fig. 2 ) but can also grow in the middle of a plate, like the Hawaiian volcanoes ( Fig. 3 ). Of the more than 1,500 volcanoes worldwide believed to have been active in the past 10,000 years, 169 are in the United States and its territories ( Ewert et al., 2005 ) (see Fig. 4 ). As of spring 2007, two of these volcanoes, Kilauea and Mount St. Helens, are erupting, while several others, including Mauna Loa, Fourpeaked, Korovin, Veniaminof, and Anatahan, exhibit one or more signs of restlessness, such as anomalous earthquakes, deformation of the volcano's surface, or changes in volume and composition