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Journal Article

Toward Physics‐Based Nonergodic PSHA: A Prototype Fully Deterministic Seismic Hazard Model for Southern California

Kevin R. Milner, Bruce E. Shaw, Christine A. Goulet, Keith B. Richards‐Dinger, Scott Callaghan, Thomas H. Jordan, James H. Dieterich, Edward H. Field
Published: 05 January 2021
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2021) 111 (2): 898–915.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200216
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Operational Earthquake Forecasting during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence with the UCERF3‐ETAS Model

Kevin R. Milner, Edward H. Field, William H. Savran, Morgan T. Page, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 04 March 2020
Seismological Research Letters (2020) 91 (3): 1567–1578.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190294
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Highlights from the First Ten Years of the New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Center

David A. Rhoades, Annemarie Christophersen, Matthew C. Gerstenberger, Maria Liukis, Fabio Silva, Warner Marzocchi, Maximilian J. Werner, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 13 June 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (4): 1229–1237.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180032
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The Forecasting Skill of Physics‐Based Seismicity Models during the 2010–2012 Canterbury, New Zealand, Earthquake Sequence

Camilla Cattania, Maximilian J. Werner, Warner Marzocchi, Sebastian Hainzl, David Rhoades, Matthew Gerstenberger, Maria Liukis, William Savran, Annemarie Christophersen, Agnès Helmstetter, Abigail Jimenez, Sandy Steacy, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 13 June 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (4): 1238–1250.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180033
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The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability: Achievements and Priorities

Danijel Schorlemmer, Maximilian J. Werner, Warner Marzocchi, Thomas H. Jordan, Yosihiko Ogata, David D. Jackson, Sum Mak, David A. Rhoades, Matthew C. Gerstenberger, Naoshi Hirata, Maria Liukis, Philip J. Maechling, Anne Strader, Matteo Taroni, Stefan Wiemer, Jeremy D. Zechar, Jiancang Zhuang
Published: 13 June 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (4): 1305–1313.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180053
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The SCEC Unified Community Velocity Model Software Framework

Patrick Small, David Gill, Philip J. Maechling, Ricardo Taborda, Scott Callaghan, Thomas H. Jordan, Kim B. Olsen, Geoffrey P. Ely, Christine Goulet
Published: 06 September 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2017) 88 (6): 1539–1552.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170082
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A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

Edward H. Field, Thomas H. Jordan, Morgan T. Page, Kevin R. Milner, Bruce E. Shaw, Timothy E. Dawson, Glenn P. Biasi, Tom Parsons, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrew J. Michael, Ray J. Weldon, II, Peter M. Powers, Kaj M. Johnson, Yuehua Zeng, Karen R. Felzer, Nicholas van der Elst, Christopher Madden, Ramon Arrowsmith, Maximilian J. Werner, Wayne R. Thatcher
Published: 12 July 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2017) 88 (5): 1259–1267.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170045
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A Spatiotemporal Clustering Model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3‐ETAS): Toward an Operational Earthquake Forecast

Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Thomas H. Jordan, Andrew J. Michael, Bruce E. Shaw, Maximilian J. Werner
Published: 28 February 2017
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2017) 107 (3): 1049–1081.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120160173
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The Potential Uses of Operational Earthquake Forecasting

Edward H. Field, Thomas H. Jordan, Lucile M. Jones, Andrew J. Michael, Michael L. Blanpied, Other Workshop Participants
Published: 03 February 2016
Seismological Research Letters (2016) 87 (2A): 313–322.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220150174
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Long‐Term Time‐Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

Edward H. Field, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, II, Yuehua Zeng
Published: 10 March 2015
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2015) 105 (2A): 511–543.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140093
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Time‐Dependent Renewal‐Model Probabilities When Date of Last Earthquake is Unknown

Edward H. Field, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 06 January 2015
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2015) 105 (1): 459–463.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140096
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Introduction to the Focus Section on Validation of the SCEC Broadband Platform V14.3 Simulation Methods

Douglas S. Dreger, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 17 December 2014
Seismological Research Letters (2015) 86 (1): 15–16.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220140233
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SCEC Broadband Platform: System Architecture and Software Implementation

Philip J. Maechling, Fabio Silva, Scott Callaghan, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 17 December 2014
Seismological Research Letters (2015) 86 (1): 27–38.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220140125
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Validation of the SCEC Broadband Platform V14.3 Simulation Methods Using Pseudospectral Acceleration Data

Douglas S. Dreger, Gregory C. Beroza, Steven M. Day, Christine A. Goulet, Thomas H. Jordan, Paul A. Spudich, Jonathan P. Stewart
Published: 17 December 2014
Seismological Research Letters (2015) 86 (1): 39–47.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220140118
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Testing Waveform Predictions of 3D Velocity Models against Two Recent Los Angeles Earthquakes

En‐Jui Lee, Po Chen, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 01 October 2014
Seismological Research Letters (2014) 85 (6): 1275–1284.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220140093
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The Prediction Problems of Earthquake System Science

Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 01 July 2014
Seismological Research Letters (2014) 85 (4): 767–769.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220140088
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Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)—The Time‐Independent Model

Edward H. Field, Ramon J. Arrowsmith, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, II, Yuehua Zeng
Published: 01 June 2014
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2014) 104 (3): 1122–1180.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130164
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Comparison of Probabilistic Seismic‐Hazard Models Using Averaging‐Based Factorization

Feng Wang, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 29 April 2014
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2014) 104 (3): 1230–1257.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130263
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Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models I: First‐Order Results

J. Douglas Zechar, Danijel Schorlemmer, Maximilian J. Werner, Matthew C. Gerstenberger, David A. Rhoades, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 01 April 2013
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2013) 103 (2A): 787–798.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120120186
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Lessons of L’Aquila for Operational Earthquake Forecasting

Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 01 January 2013
Seismological Research Letters (2013) 84 (1): 4–7.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220120167
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