1-20 OF 21
Results shown limited to content with bounding coordinates.
Morgan T. Page
Close
Save search
Follow your search
Access your saved searches in your account
Would you like to receive an alert when new items match your search?
Close Modal
Sort by
Journal Article

Fault Roughness at Seismogenic Depths and Links to Earthquake Behavior

Elizabeth S. Cochran, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas J. van der Elst, Zachary E. Ross, Daniel T. Trugman
Published: 17 March 2023
The Seismic Record (2023) 3 (1): 37–47.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0320220043
FIGURES | View All (5)
PDF
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

Aftershocks Preferentially Occur in Previously Active Areas

Morgan T. Page, Nicholas J. van der Elst
Published: 29 April 2022
The Seismic Record (2022) 2 (2): 100–106.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0320220005
FIGURES | View All (4)
PDF
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

Improvements to the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast ETAS Model (UCERF3‐ETAS)

Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, William H. Savran, Nicholas van der Elst
Published: 09 September 2021
The Seismic Record (2021) 1 (2): 117–125.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0320210017
FIGURES | View All (5)
PDF
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

Generalizing the Inversion‐Based PSHA Source Model for an Interconnected Fault System

Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page
Published: 17 November 2020
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2021) 111 (1): 371–390.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200219
FIGURES | View All (22)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

More Fault Connectivity Is Needed in Seismic Hazard Analysis

Morgan T. Page
Published: 03 November 2020
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2021) 111 (1): 391–397.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120200119
FIGURES
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

Operational Earthquake Forecasting during the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, Earthquake Sequence with the UCERF3‐ETAS Model

Kevin R. Milner, Edward H. Field, William H. Savran, Morgan T. Page, Thomas H. Jordan
Published: 04 March 2020
Seismological Research Letters (2020) 91 (3): 1567–1578.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190294
FIGURES | View All (8)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

Statistical Seismology and Communication of the USGS Operational Aftershock Forecasts for the 30 November 2018 M w 7.1 Anchorage, Alaska, Earthquake

Andrew J. Michael, Sara K. McBride, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Michael Barall, Eric Martinez, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Anne M. Wein
Published: 11 December 2019
Seismological Research Letters (2020) 91 (1): 153–173.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190196
FIGURES | View All (6)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

#EarthquakeAdvisory: Exploring Discourse between Government Officials, News Media, and Social Media during the 2016 Bombay Beach Swarm

Sara K. McBride, Andrea L. Llenos, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst
Published: 06 November 2019
Seismological Research Letters (2020) 91 (1): 438–451.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190082
FIGURES
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

Updated California Aftershock Parameters

Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst
Published: 05 December 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2019) 90 (1): 262–270.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180240
FIGURES | View All (6)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

Turing‐Style Tests for UCERF3 Synthetic Catalogs

Morgan T. Page, Nicholas J. van der Elst
Published: 13 February 2018
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2018) 108 (2): 729–741.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170223
FIGURES | View All (10)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

Nonparametric Aftershock Forecasts Based on Similar Sequences in the Past

Nicholas J. van der Elst, Morgan T. Page
Published: 20 December 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (1): 145–152.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170155
FIGURES | View All (9)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

Edward H. Field, Thomas H. Jordan, Morgan T. Page, Kevin R. Milner, Bruce E. Shaw, Timothy E. Dawson, Glenn P. Biasi, Tom Parsons, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrew J. Michael, Ray J. Weldon, II, Peter M. Powers, Kaj M. Johnson, Yuehua Zeng, Karen R. Felzer, Nicholas van der Elst, Christopher Madden, Ramon Arrowsmith, Maximilian J. Werner, Wayne R. Thatcher
Published: 12 July 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2017) 88 (5): 1259–1267.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170045
FIGURES | View All (5)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

A Spatiotemporal Clustering Model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3‐ETAS): Toward an Operational Earthquake Forecast

Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Thomas H. Jordan, Andrew J. Michael, Bruce E. Shaw, Maximilian J. Werner
Published: 28 February 2017
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2017) 107 (3): 1049–1081.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120160173
FIGURES | View All (27)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

Three Ingredients for Improved Global Aftershock Forecasts: Tectonic Region, Time‐Dependent Catalog Incompleteness, and Intersequence Variability

Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Jeanne Hardebeck, Karen Felzer, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 23 August 2016
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2016) 106 (5): 2290–2301.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120160073
FIGURES | View All (9)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Includes: Supplemental Content
Journal Article

Long‐Term Time‐Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

Edward H. Field, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, II, Yuehua Zeng
Published: 10 March 2015
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2015) 105 (2A): 511–543.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140093
FIGURES | View All (19)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

The UCERF3 Grand Inversion: Solving for the Long‐Term Rate of Ruptures in a Fault System

Morgan T. Page, Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Peter M. Powers
Published: 03 June 2014
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2014) 104 (3): 1181–1204.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130180
FIGURES | View All (23)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)—The Time‐Independent Model

Edward H. Field, Ramon J. Arrowsmith, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, II, Yuehua Zeng
Published: 01 June 2014
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2014) 104 (3): 1122–1180.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130164
FIGURES | View All (41)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

Possible Earthquake Rupture Connections on Mapped California Faults Ranked by Calculated Coulomb Linking Stresses

Tom Parsons, Edward H. Field, Morgan T. Page, Kevin Milner
Published: 01 December 2012
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2012) 102 (6): 2667–2676.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110349
FIGURES | View All (8)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

Estimating Earthquake-Rupture Rates on a Fault or Fault System

Edward H. Field, Morgan T. Page
Published: 01 February 2011
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2011) 101 (1): 79–92.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120100004
FIGURES | View All (4)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager
Journal Article

Effects of Large-Scale Surface Topography on Ground Motions, as Demonstrated by a Study of the San Gabriel Mountains, Los Angeles, California

Shuo Ma, Ralph J. Archuleta, Morgan T. Page
Published: 01 December 2007
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2007) 97 (6): 2066–2079.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120070040
FIGURES | View All (16)
PDF
Purchase
Add to Citation Manager