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Journal Article

An Interactive Viewer to Improve Operational Aftershock Forecasts

Gabrielle M. Paris, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 14 November 2022
Seismological Research Letters (2023) 94 (1): 473–484.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220220108
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An Efficient, Analytic Solution Using Order Statistics for Probabilistic Seismic‐Hazard Assessment without the Poisson Assumption

Andrew J. Michael, Andrea L. Llenos
Published: 02 March 2022
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2022) 112 (3): 1678–1693.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210216
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Prospective and Retrospective Evaluation of the U.S. Geological Survey Public Aftershock Forecast for the 2019–2021 Southwest Puerto Rico Earthquake and Aftershocks

Nicholas J. van der Elst, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrew J. Michael, Sara K. McBride, Elizabeth Vanacore
Published: 09 February 2022
Seismological Research Letters (2022) 93 (2A): 620–640.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220210222
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An International Virtual Workshop on Global Seismology and Tectonics (IVWGST‐2020)

Santanu Baruah, Chandan Dey, Prachurjya Borthakur, G. Narahari Sastry, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 23 June 2021
Seismological Research Letters (2021) 92 (5): 3231–3237.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220200402
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The Normal‐Faulting 2020 M w 5.8 Lone Pine, Eastern California, Earthquake Sequence

Egill Hauksson, Brian Olson, Alex Grant, Jennifer R. Andrews, Angela I. Chung, Susan E. Hough, Hiroo Kanamori, Sara K. McBride, Andrew J. Michael, Morgan Page, Zachary E. Ross, Deborah E. Smith, Sotiris Valkaniotis
Published: 16 December 2020
Seismological Research Letters (2021) 92 (2A): 679–698.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220200324
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Regionally Optimized Background Earthquake Rates from ETAS (ROBERE) for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 31 March 2020
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2020) 110 (3): 1172–1190.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190279
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Statistical Seismology and Communication of the USGS Operational Aftershock Forecasts for the 30 November 2018 M w 7.1 Anchorage, Alaska, Earthquake

Andrew J. Michael, Sara K. McBride, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Michael Barall, Eric Martinez, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Anne M. Wein
Published: 11 December 2019
Seismological Research Letters (2020) 91 (1): 153–173.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190196
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Ensembles of ETAS Models Provide Optimal Operational Earthquake Forecasting During Swarms: Insights from the 2015 San Ramon, California Swarm

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 01 October 2019
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2019) 109 (6): 2145–2158.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190020
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In Memoriam: Jack Boatwright (1951–2018)

Andrew J. Michael, Tia Lombardi, Thomas C. Hanks
Published: 13 February 2019
Seismological Research Letters (2019) 90 (2A): 475–476.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190008
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Updated California Aftershock Parameters

Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst
Published: 05 December 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2019) 90 (1): 262–270.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180240
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Preface to the Focus Section on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP): New Results and Future Directions

Andrew J. Michael, Maximilian J. Werner
Published: 13 June 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (4): 1226–1228.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180161
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2018 One‐Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes

Mark D. Petersen, Charles S. Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Susan M. Hoover, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Daniel E. McNamara, Robert A. Williams, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Paul S. Earle, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Justin L. Rubinstein, Jack H. Norbeck, Elizabeth S. Cochran
Published: 28 March 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (3): 1049–1061.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180005
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Forecasting the (Un)Productivity of the 2014 M 6.0 South Napa Aftershock Sequence

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 19 July 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2017) 88 (5): 1241–1251.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170050
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A Synoptic View of the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

Edward H. Field, Thomas H. Jordan, Morgan T. Page, Kevin R. Milner, Bruce E. Shaw, Timothy E. Dawson, Glenn P. Biasi, Tom Parsons, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrew J. Michael, Ray J. Weldon, II, Peter M. Powers, Kaj M. Johnson, Yuehua Zeng, Karen R. Felzer, Nicholas van der Elst, Christopher Madden, Ramon Arrowsmith, Maximilian J. Werner, Wayne R. Thatcher
Published: 12 July 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2017) 88 (5): 1259–1267.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170045
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2017 One‐Year Seismic‐Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes

Mark D. Petersen, Charles S. Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Susan M. Hoover, Allison M. Shumway, Daniel E. McNamara, Robert A. Williams, Andrea L. Llenos, William L. Ellsworth, Andrew J. Michael, Justin L. Rubinstein, Arthur F. McGarr, Kenneth S. Rukstales
Published: 01 March 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2017) 88 (3): 772–783.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170005
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A Spatiotemporal Clustering Model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3‐ETAS): Toward an Operational Earthquake Forecast

Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Thomas H. Jordan, Andrew J. Michael, Bruce E. Shaw, Maximilian J. Werner
Published: 28 February 2017
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2017) 107 (3): 1049–1081.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120160173
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Seismic‐Hazard Forecast for 2016 Including Induced and Natural Earthquakes in the Central and Eastern United States

Mark D. Petersen, Charles S. Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Susan M. Hoover, Andrea L. Llenos, William L. Ellsworth, Andrew J. Michael, Justin L. Rubinstein, Arthur F. McGarr, Kenneth S. Rukstales
Published: 31 August 2016
Seismological Research Letters (2016) 87 (6): 1327–1341.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220160072
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Characterizing Potentially Induced Earthquake Rate Changes in the Brawley Seismic Zone, Southern California

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 23 August 2016
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2016) 106 (5): 2045–2062.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120150053
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Three Ingredients for Improved Global Aftershock Forecasts: Tectonic Region, Time‐Dependent Catalog Incompleteness, and Intersequence Variability

Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst, Jeanne Hardebeck, Karen Felzer, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 23 August 2016
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2016) 106 (5): 2290–2301.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120160073
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The Potential Uses of Operational Earthquake Forecasting

Edward H. Field, Thomas H. Jordan, Lucile M. Jones, Andrew J. Michael, Michael L. Blanpied, Other Workshop Participants
Published: 03 February 2016
Seismological Research Letters (2016) 87 (2A): 313–322.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220150174
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