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Journal Article

The 2023 Alaska National Seismic Hazard Model

Peter M Powers, M.EERI, Jason M Altekruse, Andrea L Llenos, Andy J Michael, M.EERI, Kirstie L Haynie, Peter J Haeussler, Adrian M Bender, Sanaz Rezaeian, Morgan P Moschetti, M.EERI, James A Smith, Richard W Briggs, Robert C Witter, Charles S Mueller, Yuehua Zeng, Demi L Girot, Julie A Herrick, Allison M Shumway, Mark D Petersen, M.EERI
Published: 01 November 2024
Earthquake Spectra (2024) 40 (4): 2545–2597.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930241266741
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Journal Article

Forecasting the Long‐Term Spatial Distribution of Earthquakes for the 2023 U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model Using Gridded Seismicity

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Allison M. Shumway, Justin L. Rubinstein, Kirstie L. Haynie, Morgan P. Moschetti, Jason M. Altekruse, Kevin R. Milner
Published: 12 April 2024
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2024) 114 (4): 2028–2053.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120230220
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Journal Article

The 2023 US 50-State National Seismic Hazard Model: Overview and implications

Mark D Petersen, M.EERI, Allison M Shumway, Peter M Powers, M.EERI, Edward H Field, M.EERI, Morgan P Moschetti, M.EERI, Kishor S Jaiswal, M.EERI, Kevin R Milner, M.EERI, Sanaz Rezaeian, Arthur D Frankel, M.EERI, Andrea L Llenos, Andrew J Michael, M.EERI, Jason M Altekruse, Sean K Ahdi, M.EERI, Kyle B Withers, Charles S Mueller, Yuehua Zeng, Robert E Chase, M.EERI, Leah M Salditch, Nicolas Luco, M.EERI, Kenneth S Rukstales, Julie A Herrick, Demi L Girot, Brad T Aagaard, Adrian M Bender, Michael L Blanpied, Richard W Briggs, Oliver S Boyd, M.EERI, Brandon S Clayton, Christopher B DuRoss, Eileen L Evans, Peter J Haeussler, Alexandra E Hatem, Kirstie L Haynie, Elizabeth H Hearn, Kaj M Johnson, Zachary A Kortum, N Simon Kwong, M.EERI, Andrew J Makdisi, M.EERI, H Benjamin Mason, Daniel E McNamara, Devin F McPhillips, Paul G Okubo, Morgan T Page, Fred F Pollitz, Justin L Rubinstein, Bruce E Shaw, Zheng-Kang Shen, Brian R Shiro, James A Smith, William J Stephenson, Eric M Thompson, Jessica A Thompson Jobe, Erin A Wirth, Robert C Witter
Published: 01 February 2024
Earthquake Spectra (2024) 40 (1): 5–88.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930231215428
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Journal Article

The USGS 2023 Conterminous U.S. Time‐Independent Earthquake Rupture Forecast

Edward H. Field, Kevin R. Milner, Alexandra E. Hatem, Peter M. Powers, Fred F. Pollitz, Andrea L. Llenos, Yuehua Zeng, Kaj M. Johnson, Bruce E. Shaw, Devin McPhillips, Jessica Thompson Jobe, Allison M. Shumway, Andrew J. Michael, Zheng‐Kang Shen, Eileen L. Evans, Elizabeth H. Hearn, Charles S. Mueller, Arthur D. Frankel, Mark D. Petersen, Christopher DuRoss, Richard W. Briggs, Morgan T. Page, Justin L. Rubinstein, Julie A. Herrick
Published: 22 December 2023
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2024) 114 (1): 523–571.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120230120
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Journal Article

2021 US National Seismic Hazard Model for the State of Hawaii

Mark D Petersen, M.EERI, Allison M Shumway, Peter M Powers, M.EERI, Morgan P Moschetti, M.EERI, Andrea L Llenos, Andrew J Michael, M.EERI, Charles S Mueller, Arthur D Frankel, M.EERI, Sanaz Rezaeian, Kenneth S Rukstales, Daniel E McNamara, Paul G Okubo, Yuehua Zeng, Kishor S Jaiswal, M.EERI, Sean K Ahdi, M.EERI, Jason M Altekruse, Brian R Shiro
Published: 01 May 2022
Earthquake Spectra (2022) 38 (2): 865–916.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930211052061
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Journal Article

An Efficient, Analytic Solution Using Order Statistics for Probabilistic Seismic‐Hazard Assessment without the Poisson Assumption

Andrew J. Michael, Andrea L. Llenos
Published: 02 March 2022
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2022) 112 (3): 1678–1693.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210216
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Journal Article

A Big Problem for Small Earthquakes: Benchmarking Routine Magnitudes and Conversion Relationships with Coda Envelope‐Derived M w in Southern Kansas and Northern Oklahoma

David R. Shelly, Kevin Mayeda, Justin Barno, Katherine M. Whidden, Morgan P. Moschetti, Andrea L. Llenos, Justin L. Rubinstein, William L. Yeck, Paul S. Earle, Rengin Gök, William R. Walter
Published: 31 August 2021
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2022) 112 (1): 210–225.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120210115
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Journal Article

Regionally Optimized Background Earthquake Rates from ETAS (ROBERE) for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 31 March 2020
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2020) 110 (3): 1172–1190.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190279
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Journal Article

#EarthquakeAdvisory: Exploring Discourse between Government Officials, News Media, and Social Media during the 2016 Bombay Beach Swarm

Sara K. McBride, Andrea L. Llenos, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst
Published: 06 November 2019
Seismological Research Letters (2020) 91 (1): 438–451.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220190082
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Journal Article

Ensembles of ETAS Models Provide Optimal Operational Earthquake Forecasting During Swarms: Insights from the 2015 San Ramon, California Swarm

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 01 October 2019
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2019) 109 (6): 2145–2158.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190020
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Journal Article

Erratum to Improving Earthquake Forecasts during Swarms with a Duration Model

Andrea L. Llenos, Nicholas J. van der Elst
Published: 11 June 2019
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2019) 109 (4): 1578–1579.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190110
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Journal Article

Improving Earthquake Forecasts during Swarms with a Duration Model

Andrea L. Llenos, Nicholas J. van der Elst
Published: 02 April 2019
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2019) 109 (3): 1148–1155.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120180332
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Journal Article

Updated California Aftershock Parameters

Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Morgan T. Page, Nicholas van der Elst
Published: 05 December 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2019) 90 (1): 262–270.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180240
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Journal Article

2018 One‐Year Seismic Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes

Mark D. Petersen, Charles S. Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Susan M. Hoover, Kenneth S. Rukstales, Daniel E. McNamara, Robert A. Williams, Allison M. Shumway, Peter M. Powers, Paul S. Earle, Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael, Justin L. Rubinstein, Jack H. Norbeck, Elizabeth S. Cochran
Published: 28 March 2018
Seismological Research Letters (2018) 89 (3): 1049–1061.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220180005
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Journal Article

Forecasting the (Un)Productivity of the 2014 M 6.0 South Napa Aftershock Sequence

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 19 July 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2017) 88 (5): 1241–1251.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170050
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Journal Article

2017 One‐Year Seismic‐Hazard Forecast for the Central and Eastern United States from Induced and Natural Earthquakes

Mark D. Petersen, Charles S. Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Susan M. Hoover, Allison M. Shumway, Daniel E. McNamara, Robert A. Williams, Andrea L. Llenos, William L. Ellsworth, Andrew J. Michael, Justin L. Rubinstein, Arthur F. McGarr, Kenneth S. Rukstales
Published: 01 March 2017
Seismological Research Letters (2017) 88 (3): 772–783.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220170005
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Journal Article

Seismic‐Hazard Forecast for 2016 Including Induced and Natural Earthquakes in the Central and Eastern United States

Mark D. Petersen, Charles S. Mueller, Morgan P. Moschetti, Susan M. Hoover, Andrea L. Llenos, William L. Ellsworth, Andrew J. Michael, Justin L. Rubinstein, Arthur F. McGarr, Kenneth S. Rukstales
Published: 31 August 2016
Seismological Research Letters (2016) 87 (6): 1327–1341.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220160072
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Journal Article

Characterizing Potentially Induced Earthquake Rate Changes in the Brawley Seismic Zone, Southern California

Andrea L. Llenos, Andrew J. Michael
Published: 23 August 2016
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2016) 106 (5): 2045–2062.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120150053
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Journal Article

Increasing seismicity in the U. S. midcontinent: Implications for earthquake hazard

William L. Ellsworth, Andrea L. Llenos, Arthur F. McGarr, Andrew J. Michael, Justin L. Rubinstein, Charles S. Mueller, Mark D. Petersen, Eric Calais
Journal: The Leading Edge
Published: 01 June 2015
The Leading Edge (2015) 34 (6): 618–626.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1190/tle34060618.1
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Journal Article

The M w 6.0 24 August 2014 South Napa Earthquake

Thomas M. Brocher, Annemarie S. Baltay, Jeanne L. Hardebeck, Fred F. Pollitz, Jessica R. Murray, Andrea L. Llenos, David P. Schwartz, James Luke Blair, Daniel J. Ponti, James J. Lienkaemper, Victoria E. Langenheim, Timothy E. Dawson, Kenneth W. Hudnut, David R. Shelly, Douglas S. Dreger, John Boatwright, Brad T. Aagaard, David J. Wald, Richard M. Allen, William D. Barnhart, Keith L. Knudsen, Benjamin A. Brooks, Katherine M. Scharer
Published: 25 February 2015
Seismological Research Letters (2015) 86 (2A): 309–326.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220150004
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