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Estimating the maximum magnitude of induced earthquakes in the Groningen gas field, the Netherlands; reply

Julian J. Bommer, Jan van Elk and Mark D. Zoback
Estimating the maximum magnitude of induced earthquakes in the Groningen gas field, the Netherlands; reply
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (February 2025) 115 (2): 715-720

Abstract

In Bommer et al. (2024), we presented a critical review of the process through which the current logic tree for the maximum magnitude used in seismic hazard and risk calculations for induced earthquakes in Groningen was obtained. The article intended to initiate a discussion for which our premise is that the current maximum magnitude distribution may be excessively conservative, impacting both the quantitative risk assessment and the public and regulatory perception of risk. In his Comment, Vlek (2024b) misrepresents our article and makes inferences that have no basis in our article. He also puts forward numerous ideas, many of which have no connection to our article and others of which seem to reflect statements that we make, despite having recently published a discursive article on this very topic. There are several serious technical weaknesses in the comment, which we explain in this reply to minimize the confusion that the comment could create.


ISSN: 0037-1106
EISSN: 1943-3573
Serial Title: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Serial Volume: 115
Serial Issue: 2
Title: Estimating the maximum magnitude of induced earthquakes in the Groningen gas field, the Netherlands; reply
Affiliation: Imperial College London, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, United Kingdom
Pages: 715-720
Published: 20250214
Text Language: English
Publisher: Seismological Society of America, Berkeley, CA, United States
References: 28
Accession Number: 2025-025568
Categories: SeismologyEnvironmental geology
Document Type: Serial
Bibliographic Level: Analytic
Annotation: For reference to discussion see Vlek, C., Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 115, Issue 2, DOI: 10.1785/0120240208, April 2025; for reference to original see Bommer, J., van Elk, J., Zoback, M., Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, Vol. 114, Issue 6, DOI: 10.1785/0120240054, Dec. 2024
Illustration Description: illus. incl. 1 table
N53°04'60" - N54°00'00", E06°19'60" - E07°04'60"
Secondary Affiliation: Nederlandse Aardolie Maatschappij, NLD, NetherlandsStanford University, USA, United States
Country of Publication: United States
Secondary Affiliation: GeoRef, Copyright 2025, American Geosciences Institute. Abstract, Copyright, Seismological Society of America. Reference includes data from GeoScienceWorld, Alexandria, VA, United States
Update Code: 202515

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