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Exposure model for European seismic risk assessment

Helen Crowley, Venetia Despotaki, Daniela Rodrigues, Vitor Silva, Dragos Toma-Danila, Evi Riga, Anna Karatzetzou, Stavroula Fotopoulou, Zeljko Zugic, Luis Sousa, Sevgi Ozcebe and Paolo Gamba
Exposure model for European seismic risk assessment (in GEM's 2018 global hazard and risk model, Marco Pagani (editor), Vitor Silva (editor), Kishor S. Jaiswal (editor) and Trevor Allen (editor))
Earthquake Spectra (October 2020) 36 (1, Suppl.): 252-273


Building exposure and vulnerability models for seismic risk assessment have been the focus of a number of European projects in recent years, but there has never been a concerted effort among the research community to produce a uniform European risk model. The European Commission's Horizon 2020 SERA project has a work package that is dedicated to that objective, through the development of an exposure model, an associated set of fragility/vulnerability models, and a database of socioeconomic indicators in order to calculate probabilistic integrated seismic risk at a European scale. This article provides details of the development of the first versions of the European exposure model that describe the distribution of the main residential, industrial and commercial building classes across all countries in Europe, as well as their occupants and replacement costs. The v0.1 of the European exposure model has been integrated within the Global Earthquake Model's global exposure and risk maps. Preliminary analyses using the model show that almost 35% of the residential population in Europe is exposed to a 475-year return period peak ground acceleration (PGA) hazard of at least 0.1 g, thus highlighting the importance of European seismic risk modeling and mitigation.

ISSN: 8755-2930
EISSN: 1944-8201
Serial Title: Earthquake Spectra
Serial Volume: 36
Serial Issue: 1, Suppl.
Title: Exposure model for European seismic risk assessment
Title: GEM's 2018 global hazard and risk model
Author(s): Crowley, HelenDespotaki, VenetiaRodrigues, DanielaSilva, VitorToma-Danila, DragosRiga, EviKaratzetzou, AnnaFotopoulou, StavroulaZugic, ZeljkoSousa, LuisOzcebe, SevgiGamba, Paolo
Author(s): Pagani, Marcoeditor
Author(s): Silva, Vitoreditor
Author(s): Jaiswal, Kishor S.editor
Author(s): Allen, Trevoreditor
Affiliation: EUCENTRE, Pavia, Italy
Affiliation: Global Earthquake Model (GEM) Foundation, International
Pages: 252-273
Published: 202010
Text Language: English
Publisher: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute, Berkeley, CA, United States
References: 30
Accession Number: 2021-013034
Categories: Seismology
Document Type: Serial
Bibliographic Level: Analytic
Illustration Description: illus. incl. 4 tables, sketch maps
N42°04'60" - N46°10'00", E18°55'00" - E23°00'00"
N36°30'00" - N47°30'00", E06°30'00" - E19°00'00"
Secondary Affiliation: GEM Foundation, ITA, ItalyUniversity Fernando Pessoa, PRT, PortugalNational Institute for Earth Physics, ROM, RomaniaAristotle University of Thessaloniki, GRC, GreeceUniversity of Belgrade, SRB, SerbiaAIR Worldwide, GBR, United KingdomStudio Calvi, ITA, ItalyUniversity of Pavia, ITA, Italy
Country of Publication: United States
Secondary Affiliation: GeoRef, Copyright 2021, American Geosciences Institute. Reference includes data from GeoScienceWorld, Alexandria, VA, United States
Update Code: 202104
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