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Preface to the focus section on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP); new results and future directions

Andrew J. Michael and Maximilian J. Werner
Preface to the focus section on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP); new results and future directions
Seismological Research Letters (June 2018) 89 (4): 1226-1228

Abstract

The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP; Jordan, 2006) carries out fully prospective tests of earthquake forecasts, using fixed and standardized statistical tests and authoritative data sets, to assess the predictive skill of forecast models and to make objective comparisons between models. CSEP conducts prospective experiments at four testing centers around the world, at which more than 400 models and model versions are currently under evaluation. These models include a range of methods and scales from long-term global earthquake forecasts to short-term regional forecasts used for Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF). CSEP has also conducted retrospective tests and developed new testing methods in its quest to answer fundamental scientific questions, improve seismic hazard assessments, and develop new forecast methods for OEF.


ISSN: 0895-0695
EISSN: 1938-2057
Serial Title: Seismological Research Letters
Serial Volume: 89
Serial Issue: 4
Title: Preface to the focus section on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP); new results and future directions
Affiliation: U. S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA, United States
Pages: 1226-1228
Published: 20180613
Text Language: English
Publisher: Seismological Society of America, El Cerrito, CA, United States
References: 22
Accession Number: 2018-057724
Categories: Seismology
Document Type: Serial
Bibliographic Level: Analytic
Annotation: Focus section on the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP); new results and future directions, edited by Michael, A. J., and Werner, M. J.
Secondary Affiliation: University of Bristol, GBR, United Kingdom
Country of Publication: United States
Secondary Affiliation: GeoRef, Copyright 2022, American Geosciences Institute. Abstract, Copyright, Seismological Society of America. Reference includes data from GeoScienceWorld, Alexandria, VA, United States
Update Code: 201831
Program Name: USGSOPNon-USGS publications with USGS authors
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