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How complete is the ISC-GEM global earthquake catalog?

Andrew J. Michael
How complete is the ISC-GEM global earthquake catalog?
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (August 2014) 104 (4): 1829-1837

Abstract

The International Seismological Centre, in collaboration with the Global Earthquake Model effort, has released a new global earthquake catalog, covering the time period from 1900 through the end of 2009. In order to use this catalog for global earthquake studies, I determined the magnitude of completeness (M (sub c) ) as a function of time by dividing the earthquakes shallower than 60 km into seven time periods based on major changes in catalog processing and data availability and applying four objective methods to determine M (sub c) , with uncertainties determined by nonparametric bootstrapping. Deeper events were divided into two time periods. Because of differences between the four methods, the final M (sub c) was determined subjectively by examining the main features of each method in both the cumulative and binned magnitude-frequency distributions. The time periods and M (sub c) values for shallow events are 1900-1917, M (sub c) =7.7; 1918-1939, M (sub c) =7.0; 1940-1954, M (sub c) =6.8; 1955-1963, M (sub c) =6.5; 1964-1975, M (sub c) =6.0; 1976-2003, M (sub c) =5.8; and 2004-2009, M (sub c) =5.7. Using these M (sub c) values for the longest time periods for which they are valid (e.g., 1918-2009, 1940-2009, ...), the shallow data fits a Gutenberg-Richter distribution with b=1.05 and a=8.3, within 1 standard deviation and with no declustering. The exception is for time periods that include 1900-1917, during which there are only 33 events with M> or =M (sub c) and, for those few data, b=2.15+ or -0.46. That result calls for further investigations for this time period, ideally having a larger number of earthquakes. For deep events, the results are M (sub c) =7.1 for 1900-1963 (although the early data are problematic) and M (sub c) =5.7 for 1964-2009. For the later time period, b=0.99 and a=7.3.


ISSN: 0037-1106
EISSN: 1943-3573
Coden: BSSAAP
Serial Title: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Serial Volume: 104
Serial Issue: 4
Title: How complete is the ISC-GEM global earthquake catalog?
Author(s): Michael, Andrew J.
Affiliation: U. S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA, United States
Pages: 1829-1837
Published: 201408
Text Language: English
Publisher: Seismological Society of America, Berkeley, CA, United States
References: 17
Accession Number: 2014-071968
Categories: Seismology
Document Type: Serial
Bibliographic Level: Analytic
Illustration Description: illus. incl. 2 tables
Country of Publication: United States
Secondary Affiliation: GeoRef, Copyright 2017, American Geosciences Institute. Abstract, Copyright, Seismological Society of America. Reference includes data from GeoScienceWorld, Alexandria, VA, United States
Update Code: 201438
Program Name: USGSOPNon-USGS publications with USGS authors
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