Colorado has a significant potential for damaging earthquakes. The Colorado Geological Survey has identified 92 potentially active faults. Two faults have documented slip-rates approaching 1 mm per year. Four hundred and seventy-seven Colorado earthquakes have been felt and/or equaled or exceeded magnitude of 2.0 between 1870 and 1996. Eighty-two earthquakes have equaled or exceeded an MMI Scale of V. Colorado's largest historical earthquake, which occurred on 7 November 1882 (8 November UCT), had an estimated magnitude of 6.5 and maximum MMI of VII to VIII. Colorado's maximum credible earthquake has been estimated at 7.5 ML. In this paper we analyze independent earthquakes (foreshocks, aftershocks, and fluid-injection induced earthquakes removed) to develop magnitude-recurrence relations. Analysis of instrumentally measured earthquakes predicts that a 6.5 ML or larger earthquake occurring somewhere in Colorado has a mean recurrence interval of about 420 years. A magnitude 6.6 ML earthquake has a 10 percent Poisson's probability of exceedance in 50 years. A 7.5 ML earthquake has a 2 percent Poisson's probability of exceedance in 50 years. Colorado's magnitude-recurrence (Gutenberg-Richter) relation is log N=2.58−0.80 ML.
Magnitude Recurrence Relations for Colorado Earthquakes Available to Purchase
a) Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
b) Schirmer Engineering Corp., 1701 N. Collins Blvd., Richardson, TX 75080
c) Dept. of Earth Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80525
a) Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
b) Schirmer Engineering Corp., 1701 N. Collins Blvd., Richardson, TX 75080
c) Dept. of Earth Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80525
a) Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
b) Schirmer Engineering Corp., 1701 N. Collins Blvd., Richardson, TX 75080
c) Dept. of Earth Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80525
a) Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
b) Schirmer Engineering Corp., 1701 N. Collins Blvd., Richardson, TX 75080
c) Dept. of Earth Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80525
a) Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
b) Schirmer Engineering Corp., 1701 N. Collins Blvd., Richardson, TX 75080
c) Dept. of Earth Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80525
a) Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
b) Schirmer Engineering Corp., 1701 N. Collins Blvd., Richardson, TX 75080
c) Dept. of Earth Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80525
a) Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
b) Schirmer Engineering Corp., 1701 N. Collins Blvd., Richardson, TX 75080
c) Dept. of Earth Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80525
a) Dept. of Civil Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523
b) Schirmer Engineering Corp., 1701 N. Collins Blvd., Richardson, TX 75080
c) Dept. of Earth Resources, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80525
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CitationWayne A. Charlie, Raymond J. Battalora, Thomas J. Siller, Donald O. Doehring; Magnitude Recurrence Relations for Colorado Earthquakes. Earthquake Spectra 2002;; 18 (2): 233–250. doi: https://doi.org/10.1193/1.1490546
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- acceleration
- Adams County Colorado
- aftershocks
- Cenozoic
- Colorado
- Colorado Plateau
- deformation
- earthquakes
- epicenters
- faults
- fluid injection
- foreshocks
- Front Range
- geologic hazards
- Grand County Colorado
- ground motion
- Gutenberg-Richter relation
- instruments
- least-squares analysis
- natural hazards
- Neogene
- North America
- oil and gas fields
- peak ground acceleration
- probability
- Rangely Field
- recurrence interval
- regression analysis
- rift zones
- Rio Grande Rift
- risk assessment
- Rocky Mountain Arsenal
- Rocky Mountains
- slip rates
- statistical analysis
- Summit County Colorado
- Tertiary
- United States
- urban environment
- waste disposal
- Frontal Fault
- Derby Fault
- Colorado earthquake 1882
- Dulce New Mexico
- Dulce earthquake 1966
- Williams Fork Mountain Fault
- Montrose-Ridgeway earthquake 1960