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Journal Article

Long‐Term Time‐Dependent Probabilities for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

Edward H. Field, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, II, Yuehua Zeng
Published: 10 March 2015
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2015) 105 (2A): 511-543.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140093
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Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)—The Time‐Independent Model

Edward H. Field, Ramon J. Arrowsmith, Glenn P. Biasi, Peter Bird, Timothy E. Dawson, Karen R. Felzer, David D. Jackson, Kaj M. Johnson, Thomas H. Jordan, Christopher Madden, Andrew J. Michael, Kevin R. Milner, Morgan T. Page, Tom Parsons, Peter M. Powers, Bruce E. Shaw, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon, II, Yuehua Zeng
Published: 01 June 2014
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2014) 104 (3): 1122-1180.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130164
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Possible Earthquake Rupture Connections on Mapped California Faults Ranked by Calculated Coulomb Linking Stresses

Tom Parsons, Edward H. Field, Morgan T. Page, Kevin Milner
Published: 01 December 2012
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2012) 102 (6): 2667-2676.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110349
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Were Global M ≥8.3 Earthquake Time Intervals Random between 1900 and 2011?

Tom Parsons, Eric L. Geist
Published: 01 August 2012
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2012) 102 (4): 1583-1592.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110282
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Reply to “Comment on ‘Is There a Basis for Preferring Characteristic Earthquakes over a Gutenberg–Richter Distribution in Probabilistic Earthquake Forecasting?’ by Tom Parsons and Eric L. Geist” by Jens-Uwe Klügel

Tom Parsons, Eric L. Geist
Published: 01 April 2010
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2010) 100 (2): 898-899.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120090327
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Is There a Basis for Preferring Characteristic Earthquakes over a Gutenberg–Richter Distribution in Probabilistic Earthquake Forecasting?

Tom Parsons, Eric L. Geist
Published: 01 June 2009
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2009) 99 (3): 2012-2019.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120080069
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Structure and Mechanics of the Hayward–Rodgers Creek Fault Step-Over, San Francisco Bay, California

Tom Parsons, Ray Sliter, Eric L. Geist, Robert C. Jachens, Bruce E. Jaffe, Amy Foxgrover, Patrick E. Hart, Jill McCarthy
Published: 01 October 2003
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (2003) 93 (5): 2187-2200.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120020228
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Seismic-reflection evidence that the Hayward fault extends into the lower crust of the San Francisco Bay area, California

Tom Parsons
Published: 01 October 1998
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America (1998) 88 (5): 1212-1223.
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