Improving the accuracy and utility of harmful algal bloom forecasting systems
Published:January 01, 2013
D. M. Anderson, B. A. Keafer, D. J. McGillicuddy, JR, A. R. Solow, J. L. Kleindinst, 2013. "Improving the accuracy and utility of harmful algal bloom forecasting systems", Biological and Geological Perspectives of Dinoflagellates, J. M. Lewis, F. Marret, L. R. Bradley
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One of the goals of harmful algal bloom (HAB) research has been to develop predictive capabilities for blooms. Major steps have been made towards this goal, including the development of physical-biological models of HAB species that simulate bloom dynamics in speciﬁc regions. In the Gulf of Maine region of the northeastern US, models have been developed that have considerable skill in simulating blooms of Alexandrium fundyense, the causative organism for paralytic shellﬁsh poisoning (PSP) outbreaks in the region. This model is now being used for both short-term and long-term forecasts. This paper describes several ongoing activities that will improve the accuracy and usefulness of the model and forecasts. These include efforts to streamline or minimize the sampling and analysis requirements of annual A. fundyense cyst surveys, efforts to quantitatively describe or characterize the severity of predicted outbreaks and plans to obtain real-time data on Alexandrium cell abundance and toxicity that can be assimilated into the models. Together, these and other activities are moving us towards an operational forecasting system for Alexandrium blooms in the region.
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Biological and Geological Perspectives of Dinoflagellates
This volume provides an overview of current research on fossil and modern dinoflagellates, as well as highlighting research areas for future collaboration, following the DINO9 International Conference in Liverpool. The volume is organized into four themes, with a review paper for each theme written by the key-note speaker. Each theme also includes a future research foci note following discussion during the conference. The contributions are organized into the following sections: environmental change, ecology/palaeoecology, life cycles and diversity, and stratigraphy and evolution. Also included are notes from two workshops: culture experiments and dinocysts as palaeoceanographic tracers. This volume will be of interest to both the biological and Micropalaeontological communities.